CFW Week 3 Forecast – Florida-Auburn, Miss State-South Carolina
Oxford, Mississippi, is ground zero
Last week, all eyes were on Austin, Texas. This week we move east where the focal point is Oxford, Mississippi. Last week in Austin, it was primarily a football game. This week in Oxford it is more than a football game. It is an event – a big event.
The football game is #9 LSU taking on #8 Ole Miss in Oxford. The event is the return of former Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin. After coaching the Magnolias for six years, Kiffin left Ole Miss at the end of last season to become the head coach at LSU.
Last year, Kiffin coached Ole Miss to the College Football Playoff, but left the team before the Playoff started. Kiffin’s departure left Ole Miss fans angry. They felt jilted. Pete Golding, Kiffin’s defensive coordinator at Ole Miss was named the Magnolias’ coach. Kiffin and Golding will be going head to head Saturday in the LSU-Ole Miss game. Not only is Kiffin returning, but also four former Ole Miss players who now play for LSU are returning as well. And to make matters worse, Ole Miss has filed a $550,000 lawsuit against one of the four players – defensive end Princewill Umanmielen.
Word is, people will be pouring into Oxford without a ticket to the game. They just want to be there. They want to be in the atmosphere. They want to be part of the event. Already Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry has pleaded with Ole Miss fans to be nice. Landry said, “We might need the National Guard out there to protect our team.”
The Oxford police department is bringing in support. Mounted police patrols from Mobile, Alabama, and New Orleans will be on hand to assist the Oxford police. LSU quarterback Sam Leavitt said Kiffin incorporated World War II footage into team meetings as part of the preparation for Ole Miss. According to Leavitt, Kiffin’s message has been, “We’re walking into a war zone, so be ready for anything.” With a 7:30 pm ET kickoff, the fans have all day to build up their emotions. I’m thinking most people will behave.
Needless to say, LSU-Ole Miss is the Game of the Week. Let the fun begin!
LSU-Ole Miss is the big one, but there are two other key SEC encounters this week. Two encounters that will give us an early indication of just where things stand in the SEC. These two games are Florida at Auburn and Mississippi State at South Carolina. All four teams are undefeated. Obviously, only two of them will be after Saturday.
Florida at Auburn matches two first-year coaches who are trying to get their programs rebuilt. Mississippi State at South Carolina will let us know which one of these teams is for real.
There are two other SEC games landing in the Top 10 games of the week. Not so much because of who will win, but more a case of how the winner will play, facing its first SEC competition of the season. These two games are Kentucky at Texas A&M and Georgia at Arkansas.
Kentucky had an opportunity last week but blew it in the second half. After this week, the Wildcats will likely be 0-2 in SEC play. Georgia is 2-0 against two powder puffs. Arkansas is not good, but the Razorbacks aren’t a powder puff. And Arkansas is the home team.
The Big 12 has a good intraconference encounter this week – Houston at Texas Tech. This is a good ole intrastate affair. The ACC has a top-notch game between two of its members – SMU at Louisville. This one could be high scoring.
Speaking of the ACC, two teams are involved in interconference affairs – Florida State at Alabama and Virginia vs. West Virginia. After what FSU did to Alabama last year, you have to believe the Crimson Tide will be out for revenge – big time. No mercy! Neighbors Virginia and West Virginia get together down in Charlotte, North Carolina.
And finally, another Big Ten team gets a shot at the Irish. That’s a shot at the Irish, not a shot of Irish. Wisconsin had its chance and failed. Now it is Michigan State’s turn. Michigan State may need a few shots of Irish Whiskey after Notre Dame is finished with them – Michigan State at Notre Dame.
Almost making my Top 10 games this week, and probably it should have, is Virginia Tech at Maryland. Both teams are undefeated. This is James Franklin’s first real test with the Hokies.
Also keep an eye on Colorado at Northwestern, NC State at Vanderbilt, North Carolina at Clemson and Miami at Wake Forest.
The Ivy League teams begin their seasons this weekend. Most of the Ivy League schools helped get this whole thing called football established back in the 1870s. Princeton played in the very first college football game in 1869. So, every year I salute the Ivy League on their opening weekend.
Only one Ivy Leaguer is hone this weekend. The other seven teams are on the road. Columbia hosts Lafayette. “Roar Lions, Roar!” Brown is at New Haven; Dartmouth visits Lehigh; Princeton travels to Bryant; Harvard is at New Hampshire; Cornell travels to Colgate; Yale visits Holy Cross, and Penn is at Bucknell.
As late as the early 1950s, non-conference teams like Army, California, Michigan, Navy, Rutgers, Syracuse, Temple, Virginia and Wisconsin were on the schedules of the Ivy League teams. Up until 1940, the Ivy League (Cornell, Dartmouth, Harvard, Penn, Princeton, Yale) won or shared most of the national championships.
We began the season in Dublin, Ireland. Saturday, Kansas and Arizona State meet at Wembley Stadium in London, England. The game will be televised on FS1 at 12:00 noon ET (5 pm London time). It’s the inaugural Union Jack Classic.
The bloodbath has begun in Tallahassee. Florida State announced Monday morning that athletic director Michael Alford had been fired. Who’s next?
The Saturday morning pregame shows this weekend: ESPN’s College GameDay will be in Oxford, Mississippi, for the LSU-Ole Miss game. FOX’s Big Noon Kickoff will be at the inaugural Union Jack Classic at Wembley Stadium in London, England, for the Kansas-Arizona State game. SECN’s SEC Nation will be in Auburn, Alabama, for the Florida-Auburn game. ACCN’s ACC Huddle will be in Clemson, South Carolina, for the North Carolina-Clemson game.
Touchdown Tom
September 17, 2026
https://collegefootballweek.blogspot.com
Touchdown Tom’s Predictions for
Week Three’s 10 Biggest and Most Intriguing Games….and then some
GAME OF THE WEEK: 1. #7 LSU (2-0) at #8 Ole Miss (2-0) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, ABC – Will Oxford, Mississippi, survive this weekend? Not only survive the game between two Top-10 teams but also survive the return of Lane Kiffin. It’s going to be wild – the likes we may have never seen before. You have to believe there will be as many people without tickets traveling to Oxford as there will be people inside Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. They want to be there for the atmosphere. And some atmosphere it should be. Kiffin says the pressure is on Ole Miss. He’s probably right. I’m thinking with Trinidad Chambliss and Kewan Lacy, Ole Miss has the better offense. But I’m thinking LSU has the better defense. Ole Miss had no defense against Louisville. Let the party begin – LSU 27, Ole Miss 24.
RUNNER-UP: 2. #22 Houston (2-0) at #13 Texas Tech (2-0) – (Big 12 vs. Big 12) – 8 pm ET, Friday, FOX – Which of these two teams are for real. Texas Tech is higher ranked, but the Red Raiders have been a little shaky. Houston is supposed to be good, but the Cougars will have to convince us. Interestingly, both teams have played Oregon State. At home, Houston beat Oregon State, 33-20. Houston couldn’t quite shake the Beavers, but the Cougars were always in control. On the road, Texas Tech beat Oregon State, 35-24. Midway through the 4th quarter, Oregon State led Texas Tech, 24-21. Houston had better stats against the Beavers than did Texas Tech. Throw the stats out the window – Texas Tech 31, Houston 27.
REST OF THE BEST: 3. #16 SMU (2-0) at #23 Louisville (1-1) – (ACC vs. ACC) – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN2 – SMU had a close win over Florida State two weeks ago. Louisville had a close loss to Ole Miss two weeks ago. Whoever wins this game, it’s going to be close. I was really impressed with Louisville quarterback Lincoln Kienholz in the Ole Miss game. Louisville lost but Kienholz was a winner. Th Cardinals also have top-rated running back Isaac Brown. SMU has a hot quarterback too – Kevin Jennings. Neither team has an outstanding defense. But the defenses aren’t bad. This is a tough road assignment for the Mustangs and Louisville takes advantage. Mustangs don’t make the Derby – Louisville 30, SMU 24.
4. #27 Florida (2-0) at Auburn (2-0) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 7 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN – Florida and Auburn have had some great games in the past. This should be another good one. Both teams are playing under first-year coaches. Auburn wanted Florida’s coach – Jon Sumrall. The Tigers lost out to the Gators. Auburn then got their next choice – Alex Golesh. Golesh was a good catch. Florida quarterback Aaron Philo has been playing good. Likewise Byrum Brown has been playing well for the Tigers. Forida’s ace in the hole is running back Jadan Baugh. Baugh turned faces last year. He’s doing the same this year. The Tigers lose out to the Gators again – Florida 28, Auburn 21.
5. #32 Mississippi State (2-0) at #33 South Carolina (2-0) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, SECN – This is the third of three top-notch matches in the SEC. Miss State has come on strong, especially under fledgling quarterback Kamario Taylor. Taylor has been impressive – very impressive. Bulldogs coach Jeff Lebby has the offense rolling at State. South Carolina is still a bit of a mystery. The talent is there. The competition has been weak. It won’t be weak on Saturday. The Gamecocks are under veteran quarterback LaNorris Sellers. Let the battle begin. The Gamecocks won’t be a mystery after Saturday – South Carolina 30, Mississippi State 21.
6. #25 Virginia (2-0) vs. West Virginia (2-0) – (ACC vs. Big 12) – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, ACCN – These two neighbors are traveling to Charlotte, North Carolina, to get together. One will have a happy ride hoe, The other one won’t. Both are undefeated. WVU hasn’t truly been tested. Virginia has aced one test already. That was the Cavs 34-8 win over NC State. That was an impressive win. WVU’s offense has looked good under quarterback Michael Hawkins and running back Cam Cook. It’s the Mounties’ defense that has question marks – lots of them. Virginia, under quarterback Beau Pribula, could have a heyday. Both quarterbacks are dangerous runners. So, the Virginia’s have to go to the Carolina’s to play football. The Cavs are happy with that – Virginia 30, West Virginia 23.
7. Michigan State (2-0) at #3 Notre Dame (2-0) – (Big Ten vs. Ind) 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, NBC – Michigan State is desperately seeking a good season. The Spartans are off to a good start. The competition hasn’t been the strongest. State is also under a first-year coach – Pat Fitzgerald. Notre Dame has the expertise. Quarterback C.J. Carr is one of the best – if not the best. The Irish defense is outstanding. ND already has a win over one Big Ten team. That was a 41-13 thrashing of Wisconsin. Michigan State may or may not be better than Wisconsin. But the Irish are better than both – Notre Dame 34, Michigan State 16.
8. Florida State (1-1) at #10 Alabama (2-0) – (ACC vs. SEC) – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ABC – We all remember what happened last year in Tallahassee. Alabama was heavily favored. The Tide were also heavily unprepared. The Noles ruled – 31-17. What a surprise that game was. Even the Noles were surprised. There won’t be any surprises this year. I have a feeling Bama has had this game marked for a year. FSU is inconsistent on offense and confused on defense. The Noles have a threat on offense in wide receiver Duce Robinson. But they have to make use of that theat. Alabama has lots of threats – offense and defense. On offense, it begins with quarterback Keelon Russell. He has been good so far. Last week, the Bama defense was a little unsettled in the first half against Kentucky. They got their act together in the second half. Florida State likely is studying that first half film. Revenge in Tuscaloosa – Alabama 40, Florida State 17.
9. Kentucky (1-1) at #9 Texas A&M (2-0) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN – Last week, Kentucky had a good first half, a bad second half. Last week, Texas A&M had a tough three quarters. The Aggies came to life in the fourth quarter. Kentucky coach Will Stein will probably have the Wildcats fired up again this week. He seems to be good at doing that. But Kentucky is on the road this week and Texas A&M is as good as Alabama – maybe better. Aggies quarterback Marcel Reed is sharp and quick. And he has good receivers. Kentucky quarterback Kenny Minchey is good but still learning the ropes. The Aggies give the Wildcats a whippin’ – Texas A&M 40, Kentucky 21.
10. #2 Georgia (2-0) at Arkansas (1-1) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 12 noon ET, Saturday, ABC – Welcome to Power Four football, Georgia. Not that Arkansas is a Power Four powerhouse. But the Razorbacks aren’t powder puffs. That’s who the Dawgs have been playing the first two weeks – powder puffs. Arkansas may be, and probably is, the worst team in the SEC. But worst teams can and do improve. After the Razorbacks’ loss to Utah last week, first-year coach Ryan Silverfield has been riddled with criticism. Maybe that will fire up the Razorbacks. Maybe it will, but not enough to beat the Dawgs – Georgia 42, Arkansas 16.
YE OLDE STOMOPING GROUNDS:
Stanford (1-1) at Duke (2-0) – (ACC vs. ACC) – 4 pm ET, Saturday, CWN – Two of America’s best educational institutions get together on the football field. It may noy be a good game, but at least it should be a smart game. Stanford is in the process of rebuilding its program. The teams is led by former Stanford quarterbacks Andrew Luck and Tavita Pritchard. Luck is the general manager, and Pritchard is the first-year coach. The Trees’ offense looked good in its opener against Hawaii. But, along with the defense, looked bad against Miami. Everybody looks bad against Miami. Stanford should be a much better team towards the end of the season. Duke is off to a good start. Head coach Manny Diaz continues to do a good job with the program. Diaz has the Dookies competitive again this year. Quarterback Walker Eget and running back Nate Sheppard make the offense competitive. The Dookies trim the Trees – Duke 31, Stanford 28.
#6 (FCS) North Dakota (3-0) at Nebraska (2-0) – (Big Ten vs. ) – 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, BTN – North Dakota is just an FCS team. But don’t be surprised if the Huskers find North Dakota tougher to handle than its first two opponents Ohio and Bowling Green. North Dakota is ranked 6th in this week’s FCS Coaches Poll. The Fighting Hawks have no chance of beating Nebraska, but they could be a problem. North Dakota is averaging 50 points a game. However, their defense is giving up 23 points per game. The Huskers should have no problem scoring on the Fighting Hawks. But the Nebraska defense will be challenged by the North Dakota offense. Huskers quarterback Anthony Colandrea is improving, and Nebraska appears to have a slew of good running backs. Fighting Hawks go down to Fighting Herbie – Nebraska 42, North Dakota 20.
UTSA (2-0) at #1 Texas (2-0) – (AC vs. SEC) – 8 pm ET, Saturday, SECN – Texas may have a letdown following that big win over Ohio State. But even with a letdown, the Longhorns should have no trouble beating UTSA. That said, UTSA is a good team and is capable of causing problems. The Roadrunners are led by quarterback Owen McCown. Texas, of course, is full of talent. Bevo takes the beep out of Beep Beep – Texas 33, UTSA 17.
Purdue (1-1) at #35 UCLA (2-0) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 11 pm ET, Saturday, BTN – It’s going to be another long season for the Boilermakers. They had their chance last week against Wake Forest and couldn’t take advantage of it. The remainder of the schedule consists of Notre Dame and Big Ten Conference games. It doesn’t look hopeful for the Boilers. Purdue quarterback Ryan Browne has been looking good, but he has no support. Meanwhile, first-year coach Bob Chesney has UCLA on a winning track. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has been doing well and the Bruins defense has been looking good. Boilers run out of steam – UCLA 34, Purdue 17.
ELSEWHERE AROUND FLORIDA:
#5 Miami (2-0) at Wake Forest (2-0) – (ACC vs. ACC) – 7:30 pm ET, Friday, ESPN….
Virginia-Lynchburg (0-3) at Bethune-Cookman (1-1) – (NCCAA vs. SWAC) – 4 pm ET, Saturday
FIU (1-1) at Florida Atlantic (1-1) – (C-USA vs. AC) – 6 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN+….
Georgia State (2-0) at UCF (1-1) – (SBC vs. Big 12) – 7 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN+….
Delaware State (2-1) at South Florida (2-0) – (MEAC vs. AC) – 7 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN+….
Austin Peay (2-1) at #17 (FCS) West Florida (2-0) – (UAC vs. UAC) – 7 pm ET, Saturday….
Tennessee State (0-3) at Florida A&M (1-2) – (OVC vs. SWAC) – 7 pm ET, Saturday….
Stetson (1-2) at UC Davis (2-1) – (Pioneer vs. Big Sky) – 10 pm ET, ESPN+….
Quotes of the Week
“One Mike down, one to go,” USA Today sports columnist Matt Hayes, on the firing of Florida State AD Mike Alford, with the assumption that FSU football coach Mike Norvell will be next.
“This thing will make the Mardi Gras look like a backyard barbecue,” a New Orleans law enforcement official, on the LSU-Ole Miss weekend in Oxford.
Touchdown Tom
https://collegefootballweek.blogspot.com