CFW Week 7 Forecast – The SEC is still angry with LSU
Marquee games: Ohio State-Indiana,
Notre Dame-BYU, Alabama-Tennessee
Supporting cast: Missouri-Ole Miss, Oklahoma State-Houston, Wisconsin-UCLA
The Big Ten has three games in the Top-10 games of the week, including the “Game of the Week” – Ohio State at Indiana. I suspect this is the biggest game in Bloomington, Indiana, in years – maybe ever. And I suspect the winner of the game will be on their way to the Big Ten championship game and most likely the College Football Playoff. The loser of the game may be too. In fact, it wouldn’t surprise me if these two teams meet again this season in the Big Ten title game.
The next top Big Ten game is Wisconsin at UCLA. Like Wake Forest in the ACC and Kentucky in the SEC, UCLA is not only a surprise, but the Bruins have become the “darlings” of their conference. Bruins coach Bob Chesney could be in the running for one of the “Coach of the Year” awards. However, like all Cinderellas and “darlings”, the bubble could burst at any time. Will the Badgers do any bursting?
The third and final big game in the Big Ten is Nebraska at Oregon. Oregon can’t afford another loss – not with seven games remaining. Nebraska doesn’t need another loss at this point in the season either. Both teams will be playing desperate football. If Dylan Raiola is the quarterback for the Ducks, then that brings an interesting perspective to the game.
The SEC doesn’t have the “Game of the Week” this week, nor does the conference have the “Runner-Up Game.” But the SEC does have five games in the Top-10 games. First up is Alabama at Tennessee. Alabama enters the game wounded. Tennessee enters breathing a sigh of relief. What does Josh Heupel have cooking?
Next, the SEC gives us Missouri at Ole Miss. Like the Nebraska-Oregon game, the Missouri quarterback brings an interesting perspective to the game. Austin Simmons used to be the Ole Miss quarterback – until Trinidad Chambliss came along.
How about Mississippi State at LSU? Following the loss to Kentucky, LSU can’t afford to lose again. It would be the Tigers’ third loss. Miss State will have to play inspired football to win. The Bulldogs can.
A fourth big SEC game is Florida at Texas. Florida has already revealed itself as a pretender. Texas has revealed itself to be mistake prone. Something tells me the Longhorns will be mad. Something tells me Jon Sumrall just hopes to keep it close. Florida may be without quarterback Aaron Philo, who has been suffering this week with a shoulder injury.
And finally in the SEC, we have Kentucky at Oklahoma. Before the Texas game, OU had been declared dead for the season. The Sooners found life against Texas. Did they ever! Kentucky is a feisty bunch. Maybe too feisty for OU after the win over Texas.
The “Runner-Up” game this week is a non-conference affair – Notre Dame at BYU. What a fun game this has the potential to be. Notre Dame has been impressive, but the competition hasn’t been. BYU will be competitive. But the Irish could be overwhelming. Look for BYU coach Kalani Sitake to have a few tricks up his sleeve. The Irish better be equipped with Bear spray.
There is one Big 12 game in the Top 10 – Oklahoma State at Houston. Two good quarterbacks will be on display in this affair – the experienced Houston quarterback Connor Weighman and the young, up-and-coming Oklahoma State quarterback Drew Mestemaker. I’m thinking Weighman must be glad he transferred out of Texas A&M two years ago. He’s playing for a winner at Houston.
There are seven other games worth keeping your eye on this weekend. Their outcomes should be interesting: Virginia at SMU, Georgia State at James Madison, UNLV at Air Force, Penn State at Michigan, Florida State at Miami, Wake Forest at California and North Carolina at Duke.
James Madison announced this week that it will leave the Sun Belt Conference and join the American Conference. The change will take place at the earliest on July 1, 2027, or at the latest on July 1, 2028.
The SEC revealed this week that a live controversy still exists between the conference and LSU. The SEC said its lawsuit against LSU is still an open matter. The SEC said that LSU lacks institutional control over its athletic programs and that LSU defies the conference’s professionalism and rules. As a result, the SEC said that the possibility of terminating LSU’s membership still exists. The SEC said this week, “The dispute between the SEC and LSU remains alive.”
Sounds like LSU is the “rogue school” that Paul Finebaum said it was. Back when there were 10 and even 12 schools in the SEC, I think the loss of LSU as a member would have been significant – tough on the conference. Today, with 16 schools in the SEC and the possibility of increasing to 20 members with the likes of Florida State, Miami, Clemson, North Carolina, etc., the loss of LSU would be insignificant – no one would notice or be bothered by the termination of LSU.
The Top-12 teams in this week’s FCS Coaches Top-25 Poll are 1. South Dakota State (5-1), 2. Tarleton State (6-0), 3. Stephen F. Austin (6-0), 4. Lehigh (6-0), 5. Montana State (5-1), 6. Youngstown State (5-2), 7. Montana (5-2), 8. Lamar (5-1), 9. South Dakota (5-2); 10. Northern Arizona (5-2), 11. Austin Peay (5-2), and 12. UC Davis (4-2).
This week’s Saturday morning pregame shows: ESPN’s College GameDay is in Provo, Utah, for the Notre Dame-BYU game. FOX’s Big Noon Kickoff is in Bloomington, Indiana, for the Ohio State-Indiana game. SECN’s SEC Nation is in Knoxville, Tennessee, for the Alabama-Tennessee. And ACCN’s ACC Huddle is in Coral Gables, Florida, for the Florida State-Miami game.
Enjoy your games. The weekend is gonna be another good one.
Touchdown Tom
October 15, 2026
https://collegefootballweek.blogspot.com
Touchdown Tom’s Predictions for
Week Seven’s 10 Biggest and Most Intriguing Games….and then some
GAME OF THE WEEK: 1. #4 Ohio State (5-1) at #5 Indiana (6-0) – Big Ten vs. Big Ten – 12 noon ET, Saturday, FOX – This could be the game of the year in the Big Ten. Indiana is not as good as last year’s team. But the Hoosiers are a good team. We’ll find out how good the Hoosiers are on Saturday. Ohio State is a good team. But how good are the Buckeyes really? We know receiver Jeremiah Smith is good, probably the best player in college football. The rest of the Ohio State team is still an unknown. We’ll find out how good the Buckeyes are on Saturday. Indiana plays the better defense. Ohio State has the stronger offense. It will be interesting to see how the Hoosiers defend Jeremiah Smith. Iowa tripled teamed Smith. He still caught passes and ran away from the Hawkeyes defenders. Brutus is brutal on the Hoosiers – Ohio State 28, Indiana 24.
RUNNER-UP: 2. #2 Notre Dame (6-0) at #8 BYU (5-0) – Ind. vs. Big 12 – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, ABC – Notre Dame won’t get many tests this season – two, possibly three. BYU is one of those two, possibly three tests. To be selected for the CFP, the Irish can’t afford many losses. A loss to BYU would require that the Irish beat Miami later in the season. That’s a pretty good incentive for ND. The Irish haven’t been challenged this season. Their victories have been convincing. On the other hand, BYU has had to scrap in some of its games. But those were conference games. Conference games are always tougher. That’s where ND has it easier. The Irish aren’t in a conference. Both teams have played good defense. They may be equal there. Both have played good offense. But the Irish have played better offense. I’m thinking this will be an exciting game in Provo. The Irish are more excited – Notre Dame 30, BYU 28.
REST OF THE BEST: 3. #6 Alabama (5-1) at #14 Tennessee (5-1) – SEC vs. SEC – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ABC – Tennessee was definitely slacking last week against Arkansas. The Vols were already thinking about Alabama. This is Tennessee’s second big test of the season in Knoxville. A few weeks ago it was Texas. Texas was a big game, but the Longhorns aren’t really rivals. Alabama is not only a big game. The Tide are rivals. Now, after that loss to Georgia, how will Bama play? Will the Tide be in a funk? Or will they be fired up. Something tells me Kellen DeBoer will have them fired up. It looks like Alabama receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams may miss the game due to injuries. The difference in this game may be the play of the quarterbacks. Alabama seems to have the more talented and dangerous QB. But I said this game is a rivalry. Actually, it is uncertain who will start at QB for the Vols – George MacIntyre or Faizon Brandon. Big Al cracks a smile – Alabama 28, Tennessee 23.
4. #13 Missouri (5-1) at #9 Ole Miss (4-1) – SEC vs. SEC – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, SECN – I’m not really sure what to make of these two teams yet. Missouri looked terrible in its loss to Mississippi State. But the Tigers looked great in their win over Florida. Ole Miss looked terrible in its loss to Florida. But the Magnolias looked great in their win over LSU. There was one difference. Ole Miss had running back Kewan Lacy in their win over LSU. They did not have him in their loss to Florida. He’s expected back for Missouri. Mizzou’s quarterback – Austin Simmons – has some incentive in this game. Simmons is a former Ole Miss quarterback. He lost his starting job to Trinidad Chambliss and later transferred to Missouri. This could be a donnybrook. Truman loses his stripes – Ole Miss 30, Missouri 27.
5. #18 Oklahoma State (4-1) at #20 Houston (5-1) – Big 12 vs. Big 12 – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, FOX – Oklahoma State is a surprise team this year. The Cowboys got a real surprise in their opener. They lost to Tulsa. Since then they have won four-straight games, including a win over Oregon. They were a new team under a new coach when they lost to Tulsa. Since then they have grown up real fast. Leading that growth is quarterback Drew Mestemaker. He has become one of the leading passers in the country. On the contrary, Houston is not a surprise. The Cougars were supposed to be good. And they have been. Their only loss was by 2 points on the road against undefeated Texas Tech. Houston quarterback Connor Weighman gets better and better each week. Cowboys can’t lasso Cougars – Houston 33, Oklahoma State 31.
6. #26 Wisconsin (4-1) at #12 UCLA (6-0) – Big Ten vs. Big Ten – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, NBC – UCLA’s bubble hasn’t burst yet. But Wisconsin will be trying to pop it. Five and a half of UCLA’s six wins were led by quarterback Nico Iamaleava. But Nico is out. Out for the rest of the season Luke Fickell. He suffered a leg injury at the end of the second quarter against Oregon last week. Quarterback Ty Dieffenbach played the second half and handled things pretty well. Wisconsin coach, who was on the hot seat when the season began (and may still be), has the Badgers off to a good start. But the Badgers may not be good enough to take care of the Bruins. Bucky gets a Bear hug – UCLA 24, Wisconsin 20.
7. #16 Mississippi State (4-1) at #22 LSU (4-2) – SEC vs. SEC – 12 noon ET, Saturday, ESPN – Mississippi State was a hot team and quarterback Kamario Taylor was a hot topic until the Bulldogs and Taylor ran into Alabama a couple weeks ago. They’ve had a week to get over that loss. Now the Bulldogs and Taylor are facing LSU. (Taylor may miss the game due to a foot injury.) And Mike is a wounded Tiger – two losses. You know what they say about wounded animals – they are dangerous. Yeah, Lane Kiffin can’t afford anymore losses. Otherwise, he can kiss the CFP goodbye. And that’s what he was hired for – the CFP. The game is in Baton Rouge. Bully retreats to the Doghouse – LSU 33, Mississippi State 21.
8. #32 Florida (4-2) at #7 Texas (4-1) – SEC vs. SEC – 12 noon ET, Saturday, ABC – Bevo has a good memory. He remembers what Florida did to Texas last year. That will fire up the Longhorns. And that is only part of it. Following the Texas loss to Oklahoma last Saturday, Longhorns coach Steve Sarkisian and quarterback Arch Manning have been facing criticism all week. You know that will only have Sark and Arch fired up. It may not be pretty for Albert and the Gators. As it is, Texas is mad enough from the loss to Oklahoma. Add the other factors and it could be over for the Gators before the game starts. Florida coach Jon Sumrall better find a remedy for his defensive problems quickly. And the Gators offense needs to get back on track. Away from The Swamp, the Gators flounder – Texas 33, Florida 17.
9. #15 Kentucky (5-1) at #30 Oklahoma (3-2) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, SECN – The amazing Wildcats are up against another challenge this week. But they could catch Oklahoma still hungover, following the Sooners win over Texas. That would be to Kentucky’s advantage. On the other hand, Oklahoma may be recharged after the win over Texas. Regardless, Kentucky will face a tough OU defense. The Sooners offense hasn’t been that strong. But Kentucky’s defense isn’t all that good. This should be an interesting matchup. If nothing else, you know Will Stein will have the Wildcats fired up. Boomer kicks the boom out of the Wildcats – Oklahoma 21, Kentucky 20.
10. #29 Nebraska (5-1) at #27 Oregon (3-2) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 11 pm ET, Saturday, FOX – Nebraska could be facing its former quarterback this week. If Dante Moore doesn’t return to action then Dylan Raiola could well be Oregon’s starting quarterback against Nebraska. Raiola transferred to Oregon from Nebraska during the offseason. Oregon has been a bit out of sync this season. Without Moore, the Ducks are even more out of sync. No pun intended. Three preseason polls had Oregon ranked No. 1. A consensus of all the preseason polls had the Ducks ranked No. 2. After six weeks of football, Oregon is nowhere near those rankings. Nebraska darn near beat Indiana last week. The Huskers could easily beat Oregon. They are capable of doing it. But it is hard to see Oregon losing two-straight games in Eugene. Puddles likes his corn on the cob – Oregon 27, Nebraska 24.
YE OLDE STOMPING GROUNDS:
Washington (3-3) at Purdue (3-3) – Big Ten vs. Big Ten – 8 pm ET, Friday, FOX – All of a sudden, Purdue has gotten hot. The Boilers have won two-straight games. And over Big Ten teams at that. Wonders never cease. How about three-straight wins? Washington will be without quarterback Demond Williams. He’s out with an injury. But sometimes it is dangerous facing an unknown quarterback. Still, the Boilers have definitely been improving. Coach Barry Odom may have turned the corner. Washington has been going downhill. The Huskies have lost three-straight games. The Boilers get it done at home – Purdue 33, Washington 30.
Cincinnati (4-1) at West Virginia (3-3) – Big 12 vs. Big 12 – 12 noon ET, Saturday, TNT –On the positive side, West Virginia has one of the best offenses in the country. On the negative side, WVU has one of the worst defenses in the country. In order to win, the offense has to outscore the defense. Lately, that hasn’t happened. The Mounties have lost three-straight games, while averaging 32.3 points in those games. Cincinnati is 4-1, but a shaky 4-1. Both teams lost to Arizona. The Bearcats lost 34-7. The Mounties lost 52-31. Against Cincinnati, it looks like WVU’s offense has a chance of outscoring its defense. Mountaineers skin the Cats – West Virginia 34, Cincinnati 31.
Auburn (3-2) at #1 Georgia (6-0) – SEC vs. SEC – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN – Auburn can only hope that they catch Georgia still hungover from the win over Alabama. And even at that, I don’t think the Tigers could handle Georgia. The Dawgs are too much for Auburn. Alex Golesh is still building his program. Kirby Smart’s program is not only built, but Kirby is adding reinforcements to it. Auburn standout linebacker Xavier Atkins will miss the game due to an undisclosed injury. Uga bites Aubie – Georgia 35, Auburn 24.
North Carolina (3-2) at #33 Duke (4-1) – ACC vs. ACC – 3:30 pm ET, ESPN2 – Duke stumbled last week. The Dookies must have had their minds on North Carolina. The Tar Heels were focused last week. They handed Pitt its first loss. One thing about Bill Belichick, he definitely has the Tar Heels playing better. This is going to be a tough ball game for both teams. Duke running back Nate Sheppard may be the difference. The Dookies hope so. Belichick feels the pitch fork – Duke 21, North Carolina 20.
ELSEWHERE AROUND FLORIDA:
FIU (3-2) at Jacksonville State (4-2) – C-USA vs. C-USA – 8 pm ET, Tuesday, ESPNU….
Florida Atlantic (4-1) at Army (3-2) – AC vs. AC – 12 noon ET, Saturday, CBSSN….
Presbyterian (3-3) at Stetson (1-5) – Pioneer vs. Pioneer – 2 pm ET, Saturday, YouTube….
Bethune-Cookman (3-3) at Mississippi Valley St. (3-4) – SWAC vs. SWAC – 3 pm ET, Saturday….
Florida A&M (2-4) at Jackson State (5-1) – SWAC vs. SWAC – 3 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN+….
West Alabama (5-1) at West Florida (3-2) – Gulf South vs. UAC – 5 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN+….
Florida State (3-3) at #3 Miami (5-0) – ACC vs. ACC – 7 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN….
Kent State (2-4) at South Florida (4-2) – MAC vs. AC – 7 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN+….
Quotes of the Week
“Forget Lane Kiffin, toast no-name coaching hires Will Stein and Bob Chesney,” USA Today sports columnist Blake Toppmeyer, on the success of the first-year Kentucky and UCLA coaches.
Touchdown Tom
https://collegefootballweek.blogspot.com
The next CFW – Week 7 Results – will be posted Monday morning, October 19.