CFW Week 5 Forecast – Protect College Sports Act clears Senate
Hawkeyes challenge the Buckeyes,
Keelon Russell meets Kamario Taylor
and Miami travels to Clemson
The Big Ten Conference takes command of the top games this week with four contests among the Top-10 games of the week, including the Game of the Week. That would be Ohio State at Iowa. Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith invade Iowa City to perform their magic in Kinnick Stadium.
This contest could boil down to a defensive battle. But it is hard to imagine Iowa stopping Sayin and Smith. However, if anybody can, it would be Iowa. The Hawkeyes do play pretty good defense. Iowa is giving up 8 points a game, 152 passing yards a game and 88 rushing yards a game. Not bad.
The Big Ten also gives us Washington at USC this week. Last week, Oregon came down the coast to take on the Trojans. This week it is the Huskies. USC lost to Oregon and as a result, Lincoln Riley is on the hot seat. I’d say he best beat Washington. Let’s hope his Trojans play a clean game this week.
Then the Big Ten gives us Penn State at Northwestern. Both teams lost last week. But Northwestern looked good, losing to Indiana. Penn State looked bad, losing to Wisconsin. Which team will look good and which team will look bad this week?
And finally in the Big Ten, we have Michigan at Minnesota. That should be a knockdown, drag out game in Minneapolis – a slobber knocker.
The SEC is still around this week with three of the Top 5 games. The Runner Up to the Game of the Week is Alabama at Mississippi State or Keelon at Kamario. Two of the upstart quarterbacks this season are Miss State’s Kamario Taylor and Alabama’s Keelon Russell. Nick Saban can’t stop talking about Kamario, which is kind of a slap in the face to Keelon, especially since Saban used to be the Alabama coach. Who will come out on top Saturday – Kamario or Keelon?
The third best game this week is Florida at Missouri. The Gators were awesome in their win over Ole Miss last week. They better stop celebrating that win and start thinking about Missouri. Otherwise, we could have an upset on our hands.
Lastly, the SEC offers Auburn at Tennessee. The Vols were in the spotlight last week. They lost a close one to Texas. They need to get that loss out of their minds and start thinking about Auburn. Otherwise, Auburn could come away with a win in Neyland.
The ACC has two very good and interesting games this week. The first of the two is Miami at Clemson. The Canes are undefeated, but we haven’t heard much from them recently. The Tigers have been improving. But have they improved enough to contend with Miami? We’ll soon find out.
The other top ACC game is Pitt at Virginia Tech. Both teams are 4-0. Pitt has the 3rd-best defense in the country. The Panthers are giving up 8.3 points a game, 191 passing yards a game and 53 rushing yards a game. The Hokies have their work cut out for them. But they are playing in Blacksburg.
Our final Top-10 game is a Big 12 encounter – UCF at Houston. Neither team is that strong on defense. Houston is 9th in the country on offense. The Cougars are averaging 44.5 points a game, 258 passing yards per game and 248 rushing yards per game. UCF is not really strong on offense. I’d say the Knights better find a defense real quick.
Four other curious and intriguing games to keep an eye on this week are Baylor (3-1) at Arizona State (2-1), Cincinnati (4-0) at Arizona (3-1), Virginia (3-1) at Florida State (2-2), and Kentucky (3-1) at South Carolina (2-2). The results could be interesting.
The Protect College Sports Act passed in the Senate on Monday by a vote of 77-22. Now it will be sent to the House of Representatives. The House is on break and doesn’t reconvene until after the midterm elections. At the earliest, the House will vote on the bill in mid to late November. But don’t hold your breath. I suspect the bill could get held up in the House for some time.
The Top-12 teams in this week’s Top-25 FCS Coaches Poll are 1. Montana State (5-0), 2. South Dakota State (4-1), 3. Tarleton State (4-0), 4. Montana (4-1), 5. Stephen F. Austin (5-0), 6. Lehigh (5-0), 7. North Dakota (4-1), 8. Tennessee Tech (4-0), 9. Austin Peay (4-1), 10. Youngstown State (3-2), 11. Illinois State (4-1), and 12. South Carolina State (5-0).
The Saturday morning pregame shows this week: ESPN’s College GameDay is in Iowa City, Iowa, for the Ohio State-Iowa game. FOX’s Big Noon Kickoff is in Minneapolis, Minnesota, for the Michigan-Minnesota game. SECN’s SEC Nation is in Starkville, Mississippi, for the Alabama-Mississippi State game. And ACCN’s ACC Huddle is in Clemson, South Carolina, for the Miami-Clemson game.
Touchdown Tom
October 1, 2026
https://collegefootballweek.blogspot.com
Touchdown Tom’s Predictions for
Week Five’s 10 Biggest and Most Intriguing Games….and then some
GAME OF THE WEEK: 1. #5 Ohio State (3-1) at #14 Iowa (4-0) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, CBS – If Iowa is to win this game, it will be up to the Hawkeyes defense to get the job done. Iowa’s offense isn’t up to the job – not against Ohio State. Iowa’s offense isn’t that strong, and Ohio State’s defense is too tough. But if the ball bounces right, Iowa could knock off the Buckeyes. Iowa’s defense has to contend with Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith, and Smith isn’t easy to contend with. Ohio State has the stars. Iowa has the team. The Hawkeyes do play well as a team, not that Ohio State doesn’t. The sun will be shining in Iowa City on Saturday. But it won’t be shining on the Hawkeyes – Ohio State 24, Iowa 14.
RUNNER-UP: 2. #7 Alabama (4-0) at #16 Mississippi State (4-0) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 12 noon ET, Saturday, ABC – Alabama is back in its groove. The Tide got off to a good start last week. Miss State never has gotten out of its groove. Both teams should be at their peak. This will be a good matchup between Miss State quarterback Kamario Taylor and Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell. Former Alabama coach Nick Saban is in love with Kamario. Saban said if he was still coaching, he would recruit Kamario from the transfer portal. That must make Keelon feel like a second fiddle. That should fire up Keelon. The Bulldogs can score, but how good is their defense. That could be the difference. The weather in Starkville could be iffy. In the battle of the two K’s, Keelon outshines Kamario – Alabama 30, Mississippi State 21.
REST OF THE BEST: 3. #8 Florida (4-0) at #25 Missouri (3-1) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ABC – Florida could easily fall victim to being hungover from the Gators big win over Ole Miss. Karma? That’s what happened to Ole Miss in Gainesville last week. Florida has the guns – Aaron Philo and Jadan Baugh. The Gators’ defense is improving. Missouri’s arsenal may be in short supply. The Tigers are still looking for a leader. But strange things happen in the SEC. And it’s hard to win on the road in the SEC. The weather should be good in Columbia. Albert show’s ’em – Florida 34, Missouri 24.
4. #4 Miami (4-0) at Clemson (3-1) – (ACC vs. ACC) – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, ABC – Darian Mensah should be tired of all this Kamario Taylor and Trinidad Chambliss noise. And Malachi Toney should be tired of all this Jeremiah Smith noise. This is Mensah and Toney’s chance to shine. Prime time evening game at Clemson. They couldn’t ask for a better opportunity. Ever since the Tigers were blown off the field in Baton Rouge, Clemson has been improving. Dabo Swinney is a determined winner. Rain is predicted. The Hurricanes add the wind – Miami 30, Clemson 20.
5. Auburn (3-1) at #17 Tennessee (3-1) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN – If it hasn’t already, Tennessee needs to get last week’s loss out of its head. The Vols have nothing to be ashamed of. Except for the final score, they played Texas on even terms. They played Texas as well as Ohio State did. Now the Vols need to think about Auburn. The Tigers aren’t a pushover. Coach Alex Golesh has Auburn fired up. Golesh is a familiar face around Knoxville. He was the Vols OC before leaving to take the South Florida job. I guess that says Tennessee should be familiar with his offense. Both teams have exciting quarterbacks – Faizon Brandon for Tennessee and Byrum Brown for Auburn. The Vols have the better defense. The weather is supposed to be bad. Rocky tops Aubie – Tennessee 27, Auburn 23.
6. Washington (3-1) at #18 USC (4-1) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, NBC – Both teams lost last week. Neither team has looked all that good in their early season games – even in their wins. Washington quarterback Demond Williams has been a disappointment. USC’s defense has been a disappointment. Trojans coach Lincoln Riley is on the hot seat. He’ll be desperate for a win. It will be a hot, sunny day in LA. Trojans rebound, Huskies don’t – USC 30, Washington 26.
7. UCF (3-1) at #20 Houston (3-1) – (Big 12 vs. Big 12) – 12 noon ET, Saturday, ESPN2 – Houston has the home field, and Houston has the better team. But UCF has an outstanding defense. UCF’s one loss was by 5 points to Pitt. Houston’s one loss was by 2 points to Texas Tech. Houston is better equipped at quarterback with Connor Weighman. A lot of rain is forecast. Cougars turn out the Knights’ lights – Houston 27, UCF 20.
8. #32 Pitt (4-0) at #30 Virginia Tech (4-0) – (ACC vs. ACC) – 7 pm ET, Friday, ESPN – Both teams are off to great starts. The Hokies have responded well to first-year coach James Franklin. Ethan Grunkemeyer has come on strong at quarterback for the Hokies. But Pitt has Mason Heintschel. He has thrown lots of touchdown passes. Tech appears to have the better running game. A gloomy, rainy day is on the horizon. Gobblers evade the Panthers – Virginia Tech 27, Pitt 24.
9. #28 Penn State (3-1) at #40 Northwestern (2-1) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 8 pm ET, Friday, FOX – Both teams suffered their first loss last week. Penn State was upset in the final 1:13 of its game. You could say Northwestern had a moral victory over Indiana. The Wildcats just lost by 6 points (29-23) to the Hoosiers. First-year Penn State coach Matt Campbell may be going through adjustment to Big Ten football. Northwestern coach David Braun is used to Big Ten football. Wildcats quarterback Aidan Chiles seems to be coming around – getting better. Penn State has the better quarterback in Rocco Becht. But Becht, like Campbell, is adjusting. Wildcats will be dedicating their brand new stadium. All the more reason to win. It will be a sunny day. No roar in the Lions – Northwestern 22, Penn State 21.
10. #31 Michigan (3-1) at #38 Minnesota (3-1) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 12 noon ET, Saturday, FOX – Minnesota up and upset Washington last week. And at Washington too. At home this week, the Gophers would like to upset Michigan. The Wolverines have played good defense, but they have had problems getting their offense cranked up. Michigan coach Kyle Whittingham isn’t the most popular guy in Ann Arbor. He needs a good, strong win. Rain is forecast. Wolverines know where the Gophers’ holes are – Michigan 26, Minnesota 23.
YE OLDE STOMPING GROUNDS:
West Virginia (3-1) at Iowa State (2-2) – (Big 12 vs. Big 12) – 12 noon ET, Saturday, TNT – Both teams will be looking to get back on track this week. West Virginia is one of the strongest rushing teams in the country. Running back Cam Cook and quarterback Michael Hawkins have both racked up a lot of rushing yards. But that’s about all WVU can do. The Mountaineers are a one dimensional team. No passing and no defense. Iowa State is under first-year coach Jimmy Rogers. The Cyclones have struggled. The weather in Ames should be sunny. Cy avoids the buckshot – Iowa State 27, West Virginia 24.
Vanderbilt (3-1) at #2 Georgia (4-0) – (SEC vs. SEC) – 12:45 pm ET, Saturday, SECN – Georgia took it to Oklahoma last week. This week, it’s Vanderbilt’s turn to lose to the Dawgs. Vandy freshman quarterback Jared Curtis is well-known to the Dawgs. Georgia coach Kirby Smart tried hard to recruit Curtis. He’d be Georgia’s starting quarterback next year. That was the plan. But Curtis surprised everyone and signed with Vanderbilt. Curtis may have a tough time of it on Saturday. Gunner Stockton will rule the day, leaving Curtis in his trail. Looks like a rainy day in Athens. Uga adds another notch to his dog house – Georgia 30, Vanderbilt 15.
Maryland (2-2) at #33 Nebraska (4-0) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 4 pm ET, Saturday, FS1 – Looks like the Huskers could be starting out 2-0 in Big Ten play. Maryland is having a tough time of it this season. And it looks like the Terps coach Mike Locksley is on his way out. Maryland quarterback Malik Washington started the season strong but has faltered the last couple weeks. Nebraska quarterback Anthony Colandrea is hanging in there. Looks like a bright, sunny day in Lincoln. The Turtles can’t reach the Corn – Nebraska 31, Maryland 20.
Purdue (1-3) at Illinois (2-2) – (Big Ten vs. Big Ten) – 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, BTN – Illinois is one of the few Big Ten teams that Purdue has a chance of beating this season. But it’s only a chance. The Banned Indians fired their defensive coordinator last week. The Illinois defense may be a little out of order. Maybe the Boilers can take advantage of that. Illinois is giving up around 30 points a game. This could be an opportunity for Purdue quarterback Ryan Browne to shine. But Illinois has a pretty good offense. That spells trouble for Purdue. Sunny skies are expected in Champaign. Boilers run out of steam – Illinois 29, Purdue 27.
ELSEWHERE A ROUND FLORIDA:
Marist (2-2) at Stetson (1-3) – (Pioneer vs. Pioneer) – 1 pm ET, Saturday, YouTube….
Virginia (3-1) at Florida State (2-2) – (ACC vs. ACC) – 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN2….
#28 (FCS) Alabama State (3-1) at Bethune-Cookman (2-2) – (SWAC vs. SWAC) – 4 pm ET, Saturday….
Texas Southern (1-3) at Florida Atlantic (3-1) – (SWAC vs. AC) – 6 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN….
Temple (1-3) at South Florida (4-0) – (AC vs. AC) – 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, ESPNU….
#18 (FCS) West Florida (3-1) at Abilene Christian (1-4) – (UAC vs. UAC) – 8 pm ET, Saturday, ESPN+….
Quotes of the Week
“Do some soul searching…or else,” former Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel to the Texas A&M players this week.
“If I was still coaching, I would be encouraging Kamario Taylor to get in the transfer portal,” former Alabama coach Nick Saban, on the Mississippi State quarterback.
“Nick Saban goes head over heels over Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor,” sports writer Kevin Sacarbinsky.
“The offense has been hard on the eyes,” Houston Chronicle sports columnist Kirk Bohls, on the Texas Longhorns offense.
“What I think we saw here was the tale of an elite coach and a complete fraud as a coach, and I think everybody knows who the fraud is. It is Lincoln Riley. He is bringing the USC program down to the gutter,” ESPN’s Paul Finebaum.
Touchdown Tom
https://collegefootballweek.blogspot.com
The next CFW – Week 5 Results – will be posted Monday morning, October 5.